I continue to hold out hope that the Commanders will draft a bruising, between the tackles RB in 2022, such as Kenneth Walker, Tyler Allegier or Hassan Haskins. My guy in 2021, Rhamondre Stevenson, had a strong rookie campaign in New England, racking up 606 hard yards on 133 carries and 14 receptions for 123 yards, with 8 total TDs. The WFT will select a larger power running back after the third roundīy my own admission, this was really more of a wish than a prediction. The late round sleeper WR in this class was Amon-Ra St Brown. Terrace Marshall did about as much as a rookie as Dyami Brown. The only WR picked ahead of him that he outpaced was Kadarius Toney. His yardage per game would have had him on pace for a 730-yard rookie campaign, good for 5 th place in his draft class, if he had stayed healthy. After missing the first five games to injury, he got off to a promising start, with 46 receptions for 515 yds (11.2 Y/R) and one TD in 12 games and 4 starts. Meanwhile, Rashod Bateman was the 5 th WR selected. Wouldn’t you know, 2021 was an atypical year in which the first WR selected, Ja’Marr Chase, was far and away the star of the class, and the first three WRs off the board all lived up to their draft status. This prediction was inspired by my review of WR draft classes which found that WRs drafted 5 th or later in their position group frequently outperform their earlier selected classmates. Either Terrace Marshall or Rashod Bateman will be one of the best three wideouts selected in 2021 and will outperform at least 4 receivers selected ahead of them. I have to concede, though, that some in the mock draft community were onto it. To my credit, I was surprised with the pick, because it was such a massive reach. I claimed credit for getting this one correct in my post draft recap to loud objections from HH authors and editors who had mocked Jamin Davis to Washington at #19. Washington’s pick at #19 will be a surprise. Mock drafters Todd McShay, Charley Casserly, Dan Kadar and Doug Farrar thought otherwise.Ĭorrect 8. If we are to believe Rivera’s mantra about character, Parsons was never on his board, making this a safe bet. In hindsight, this might have looked like an inspired move if they had done it, but they would have had to trade ahead of Dallas to pull it off. The Washington Football Team will not select Micah Parsons. Do I get partial credit for Chicago trading up to #11 for Justin Fields? If I had just stopped at “trade up” I would have nailed it. Either Denver or Chicago will trade up into the top 8 for a QB. I’ve got my money on Lance and Wilson making this come true, although Trevor’s rookie season interception total was impressive. We should have a better sense of how well this one is tracking by the end of this season.
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Nevertheless, the four QBs selected before Mac Jones posted fairly uninspiring numbers ( ESPN Total QBR): Lawrence QBR 33.5, 28 th ranked QB, 12 TD:17 INT Zach Wilson QBR 28.2, 30 th ranked, 9 TD:11 INT Trey Lance 2 starts, QBR 33.4, 5 TD: 2 INT Justin Fields QBR 26.4, 31 st ranked, 7 TD: 10 INT. Generational talent Peyton Manning also had a crap rookie year before going on to have a Hall of Fame career. Meanwhile, generational QB prospect, Trevor Lawrence, has yet to set the league on fire. If early returns are anything to go by, the cream of the deep 2021 QB class could turn out to be the 5 th off the board, Mac Jones, and third round pick Davis Mills (8 th QB selected). At least two of the first five QBs selected in this draft will be busts. Five QBs will be selected before pick #19.Ĭorrect 5. We should find out this season whether Kyle Shanahan got his draft capital’s worth. All we know for sure is that Trey Lance, targeted in the biggest draft trade since RG3, was not a day one starter, or even a year one starter. One year later this one is still an incomplete.
Whichever QB San Francisco picks 3 rd overall will be a massive bust.
New York Jets will select Zach Wilson or Justin Fields at number 2.Īgain, I thought I’d ease my way into the hard predictions with a few soft balls.Ĭorrect 3. It doesn’t really count toward the final score.Ĭorrect, of course 2. This one was more of a joke than a prediction because it was so obvious. Jacksonville will select Trevor Lawrence first overall. And I decided to end with a challenge of sorts.īefore I sink into the 2022 predictions, lets recap the 2021 predictions to see how I did. This year I came up with one extra to make it a baker’s dozen. It was so much fun that I have decided to make it an annual tradition for as long as the editors let me. Last year I decided to get in on the action by publishing my Dozen Bold Predictions for the 2021 Draft.
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As the NFL draft quickly approaches, the mock drafters are busily putting together their final mocks and pretty soon Mel Kiper and his legion of copycats will update and publish their final Big Boards, or Little Boards in some cases.